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Sunday, October 25, 2026

Crystal Palace
37%
Draw
27%
Newcastle
37%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
0 — 2
NewcastleNewcastle
Newcastle wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Newcastle.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Crystal Palace37%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Crystal Palace37%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Newcastle40%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.733.752.73
Kalshi2.733.742.73
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.983.812.49
Sportsbook Odds24 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.983.802.46
1xBet
3.043.742.38
Matchbook
2.983.802.46
Unibet (NL)
2.853.752.48
Unibet (SE)
2.853.752.48
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)2.983.812.49

Crystal Palace win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Selhurst Park, London
Paul Tierney
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Oct 25, 26
Crystal Palace
0-2
Newcastle
Apr 12, 26
Crystal Palace
2-1
Newcastle
Jan 4, 26
Newcastle
2-0
Crystal Palace
Apr 16, 25
Newcastle
5-0
Crystal Palace
Nov 30, 24
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Apr 24, 24
Crystal Palace
2-0
Newcastle
Oct 21, 23
Newcastle
4-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 21, 23
Crystal Palace
0-0
Newcastle
Lineups
Crystal Palace3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
44W. BenítezG
26C. RichardsD
5A. DisasiD
6J. CanvotD
25A. KhalailiM
20A. WhartonM
18D. KamadaM
3T. MitchellM
11D. McNeilM
10Yeremy PinoM
14J. MatetaF
Newcastle4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Jaissle
21L. HorníčekG
37A. DedićD
5F. SchärD
33D. BurnD
3L. HallD
6Nico GonzálezM
7JoelintonM
23J. MurphyM
28J. WillockM
11H. BarnesM
10W. OsulaF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

Newcastle won 2–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Crystal Palace was the favourite at 37% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Crystal Palace 37%, draw 27%, Newcastle 37%).