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Sunday, October 11, 2026

Crystal Palace
33%
Draw
29%
Nottingham Forest
39%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
3 — 1
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
Crystal Palace wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Crystal Palace.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Nottingham Forest33%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Nottingham Forest33%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Nottingham Forest34%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket3.063.492.58
Kalshi3.063.482.59
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.923.512.68

Crystal Palace win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Selhurst Park, London
Peter Bankes
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Oct 11, 26
Crystal Palace
3-1
Nottingham Forest
Feb 1, 26
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Crystal Palace
Aug 24, 25
Crystal Palace
1-1
Nottingham Forest
May 5, 25
Crystal Palace
1-1
Nottingham Forest
Oct 21, 24
Nottingham Forest
1-0
Crystal Palace
Mar 30, 24
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Crystal Palace
Oct 7, 23
Crystal Palace
0-0
Nottingham Forest
May 28, 23
Crystal Palace
1-1
Nottingham Forest
Lineups
Crystal Palace3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
44W. BenítezG
8J. LermaD
26C. RichardsD
6J. CanvotD
25A. KhalailiM
20A. WhartonM
23Q. TimberM
3T. MitchellM
18D. KamadaM
10Yeremy PinoM
22J. Strand LarsenF
Nottingham Forest3-4-2-1
Coach: O. Glasner
26M. SelsG
34O. AinaD
2O. DiomandeD
5MurilloD
27D. MuñozM
21X. SchlagerM
24J. McAteeM
3N. WilliamsM
10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
14D. NdoyeM
19L. DelapF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Crystal Palace won 3–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Nottingham Forest was the favourite at 39% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Crystal Palace 33%, draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 39%).