Crystal Palace
33%
Draw
29%
Nottingham Forest
39%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Crystal Palace
3 — 1
Crystal Palace wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Crystal Palace.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 33% | ✗ Upset | |
| Nottingham Forest | 33% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Nottingham Forest | Nottingham Forest | 34% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Crystal Palace | XDraw | 2Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.06 | 3.49 | 2.58 | |
| 3.06 | 3.48 | 2.59 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.92 | 3.51 | 2.68 |
Crystal Palace win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Nottingham Forest
Oct 11, 26
Crystal Palace
3-1
Nottingham ForestFeb 1, 26
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Crystal PalaceAug 24, 25
Crystal Palace
1-1
Nottingham ForestMay 5, 25
Crystal Palace
1-1
Nottingham ForestOct 21, 24
Nottingham Forest
1-0
Crystal PalaceMar 30, 24
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Crystal PalaceOct 7, 23
Crystal Palace
0-0
Nottingham ForestMay 28, 23
Crystal Palace
1-1
Nottingham ForestLineups
Crystal Palace3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
44W. BenítezG
8J. LermaD
26C. RichardsD
6J. CanvotD
25A. KhalailiM
20A. WhartonM
23Q. TimberM
3T. MitchellM
18D. KamadaM
10Yeremy PinoM
22J. Strand LarsenF
Nottingham Forest3-4-2-1
Coach: O. Glasner
26M. SelsG
34O. AinaD
2O. DiomandeD
5MurilloD
27D. MuñozM
21X. SchlagerM
24J. McAteeM
3N. WilliamsM
10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
14D. NdoyeM
19L. DelapF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Crystal Palace won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Nottingham Forest was the favourite at 39% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Crystal Palace 33%, draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 39%).