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Friday, November 6, 2026

Derby County
42%
Draw
26%
Bolton Wanderers
32%

Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.353.743.26
Kalshi2.434.082.92
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.353.763.24
Sportsbook Odds16 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Codere
2.213.603.15
LeoVegas
2.303.603.10
NordicBet
2.163.613.14
William Hill
2.203.403.00
Marathon
2.213.552.93
Fair odds (average of 16, margin removed)2.353.763.24

Derby County win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.

Pride Park, Derby
League Position
23
Derby County
Derby County
LDLLD
P
13
GD
-14
Pts
7
19
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
LLDWL
P
13
GD
-8
Pts
14
Season Stats
Derby County
vs
Bolton Wanderers
11
Goals Scored
18
25
Goals Conceded
26
0.8
Avg Goals/Game
1.4
1
Clean Sheets
3
4
Failed to Score
4
0W-2D-4L
Home Record
2W-0D-5L
1W-2D-4L
Away Record
2W-2D-2L
4-2-3-1
Formation
4-2-3-1
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Derby County
Bolton Wanderers
Mar 16, 24
Derby
1-0
Bolton
Sep 2, 23
Bolton
2-1
Derby
Jan 21, 23
Derby
2-1
Bolton
Dec 27, 22
Bolton
0-0
Derby
Apr 13, 19
Derby
4-0
Bolton
Sep 29, 18
Bolton
1-0
Derby
Apr 7, 18
Derby
3-0
Bolton
Aug 19, 17
Bolton
1-2
Derby
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby County
P. Agyemang
Achilles Tendon Injury
M. Clarke
Calf Injury
D. Murkin
Hamstring Injury
S. Szmodics
Thigh Injury
C. Morris
Inactive
Bolton Wanderers
R. Rodrigues
Knee Injury
X. Simons
Red Card
L. Stephenson
Inactive
L. Brunt
Injury
C. Forino-Joseph
Groin Injury
Key Players
Derby County
S. Szmodics
Attacker · 11 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
L. Salvesen
Attacker · 11 apps
2
Goals
0
Assists
C. Morris
Attacker · 8 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
R. Brewster
Attacker · 9 apps
0
Goals
1
Assists
O. Fraulo
Midfielder · 8 apps
0
Goals
1
Assists
Bolton Wanderers
S. Dalby
Attacker · 12 apps
4
Goals
0
Assists
T. Gale
Midfielder · 12 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
Gaizka Larrazabal
Midfielder · 11 apps
1
Goals
3
Assists
T. Bair
Attacker · 7 apps
2
Goals
1
Assists
Ruben Rodrigues
Attacker · 9 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?

Derby County is the favourite at 42% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: Derby County 42%, draw 26%, Bolton Wanderers 32%.

What is Derby County's current form?

Derby County's last 5 results: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw.

Are there any injuries for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?

Derby County has 10 players injured or doubtful. Bolton Wanderers has 9 players injured or doubtful.

Where can I bet on Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?

On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.

Where is Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers being played?

At Pride Park, Derby.

Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
Derby County
LeoVegas (SE)
2.30
43% implied
Draw
Nordic Bet
3.61
28% implied
Bolton Wanderers
Codere (IT)
3.15
32% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.