Derby County
42%
Draw
26%
Bolton Wanderers
32%
Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Derby County | XDraw | 2Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 3.74 | 3.26 | |
| 2.43 | 4.08 | 2.92 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.35 | 3.76 | 3.24 |
Sportsbook Odds16 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Derby County | XDraw | 2Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | 3.60 | 3.15 | |
| 2.30 | 3.60 | 3.10 | |
| 2.16 | 3.61 | 3.14 | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 | |
| 2.21 | 3.55 | 2.93 | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 | |
| 2.23 | 3.55 | 2.94 | |
| 2.03 | 3.30 | 2.90 | |
| 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | |
| 2.25 | 3.59 | 3.11 | |
PMU | 2.14 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
| 1.95 | 3.25 | 2.85 | |
| 2.20 | 3.35 | 2.90 | |
| 2.23 | 3.45 | 3.00 | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.90 | |
| 1.98 | 3.25 | 2.75 | |
| Fair odds (average of 16, margin removed) | 2.35 | 3.76 | 3.24 |
Derby County win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.
Pride Park, Derby
League Position
23
Derby County
LDLLD
P
13
GD
-14
Pts
7
19
Bolton Wanderers
LLDWL
P
13
GD
-8
Pts
14
Season Stats
Bolton Wanderers
11
Goals Scored
18
25
Goals Conceded
26
0.8
Avg Goals/Game
1.4
1
Clean Sheets
3
4
Failed to Score
4
0W-2D-4L
Home Record
2W-0D-5L
1W-2D-4L
Away Record
2W-2D-2L
4-2-3-1
Formation
4-2-3-1
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Bolton Wanderers
Mar 16, 24
Derby
1-0
BoltonSep 2, 23
Bolton
2-1
DerbyJan 21, 23
Derby
2-1
BoltonDec 27, 22
Bolton
0-0
DerbyApr 13, 19
Derby
4-0
BoltonSep 29, 18
Bolton
1-0
DerbyApr 7, 18
Derby
3-0
BoltonAug 19, 17
Bolton
1-2
DerbyInjuries & Suspensions
P. Agyemang
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
S. Szmodics
C. Morris
R. Rodrigues
X. Simons
L. Stephenson
L. Brunt
C. Forino-Joseph
Key Players
S. Szmodics
Attacker · 11 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
L. Salvesen
Attacker · 11 apps
2
Goals
0
Assists
C. Morris
Attacker · 8 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
R. Brewster
Attacker · 9 apps
0
Goals
1
Assists
O. Fraulo
Midfielder · 8 apps
0
Goals
1
Assists
S. Dalby
Attacker · 12 apps
4
Goals
0
Assists
T. Gale
Midfielder · 12 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
Gaizka Larrazabal
Midfielder · 11 apps
1
Goals
3
Assists
T. Bair
Attacker · 7 apps
2
Goals
1
Assists
Ruben Rodrigues
Attacker · 9 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?
Derby County is the favourite at 42% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: Derby County 42%, draw 26%, Bolton Wanderers 32%.
What is Derby County's current form?
Derby County's last 5 results: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw.
Are there any injuries for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?
Derby County has 10 players injured or doubtful. Bolton Wanderers has 9 players injured or doubtful.
Where can I bet on Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?
On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.
Where is Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers being played?
At Pride Park, Derby.
Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
Derby County
LeoVegas (SE)
2.30
43% implied
Draw
Nordic Bet
3.61
28% implied
Bolton Wanderers
Codere (IT)
3.15
32% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.