Dinamo Zagreb
60%
Draw
22%
NEC Nijmegen
18%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Dinamo Zagreb
2 — 4
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: NEC Nijmegen.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Dinamo Zagreb | Dinamo Zagreb | 18% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Dinamo Zagreb | Dinamo Zagreb | 20% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Dinamo Zagreb | XDraw | 2NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.66 | 4.59 | 5.61 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.73 | 4.44 | 5.06 |
Dinamo Zagreb win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen won 4–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Dinamo Zagreb was the favourite at 60% on Kalshi (closing prices: Dinamo Zagreb 60%, draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 18%).
