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bundesligaFull Time

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Elversberg
39%
Draw
25%
Augsburg
35%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

ElversbergElversberg
4 — 3
AugsburgAugsburg
Elversberg wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Elversberg.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Elversberg39%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Elversberg39%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Elversberg39%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.543.942.83
Kalshi2.553.922.83
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.583.952.79

Elversberg win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
Florian Exner
Head to HeadLast 2 meetings
Elversberg
Augsburg
Oct 17, 26
SV Elversberg
4-3
FC Augsburg
Aug 7, 15
SV Elversberg
1-3
FC Augsburg
Lineups
SV Elversberg4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Wagner
20N. KristofG
30J. GyamerahD
19L. PinckertD
31M. RohrD
21L. GüntherD
43F. KeidelM
8Ł. PorębaM
25L. PetkovM
10Noah DarvichM
7M. KrattenmacherM
42D. MokwaF
FC Augsburg3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Baum
1F. DahmenG
35Abdulay BahD
5C. MatsimaD
2C. BrackelmannD
27M. WolfM
4H. MassengoM
32F. RiederM
16Hennes BehrensM
19R. FellhauerM
21A. IbrahimovićM
9Rodrigo RibeiroF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Elversberg vs Augsburg?

Elversberg won 4–3.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Elversberg was the favourite at 39% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Elversberg 39%, draw 25%, Augsburg 35%).