Elversberg
27%
Draw
25%
Mainz
48%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Elversberg
4 — 1
MainzElversberg wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Elversberg.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Mainz | Mainz | 27% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Mainz | Mainz | 27% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Mainz | Mainz | 28% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Elversberg | XDraw | 2Mainz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.72 | 4.02 | 2.07 |
| Kalshi | 3.64 | 3.92 | 2.12 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.59 | 3.94 | 2.14 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Elversberg | XDraw | 2Mainz |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 3.65 | 3.90 | 2.10 |
 1xBet | 3.40 | 4.07 | 2.10 |
 Matchbook | 3.65 | 3.90 | 2.10 |
 Pinnacle | 3.60 | 3.85 | 2.05 |
 William Hill | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
 Marathon | 3.35 | 4.00 | 2.07 |
 BetOnline | 3.45 | 3.89 | 2.05 |
 888sport | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
 Betclic | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.96 |
 Betsson | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
 Codere | 3.45 | 3.75 | 2.03 |
 Coolbet | 3.60 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
 GTbets | 3.39 | 3.90 | 2.06 |
 LeoVegas | 3.25 | 3.55 | 1.97 |
 NordicBet | 3.45 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
PMU | 3.20 | 3.50 | 1.94 |
 Tipico | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.97 |
 Unibet (FR) | 3.20 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50 | 3.85 | 2.08 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.25 | 3.75 | 1.98 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15 | 3.65 | 1.94 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 3.60 | 3.94 | 2.14 |
Elversberg win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 2 meetings
ElversbergMainz
Aug 12, 23
SV Elversberg
0-1
FSV Mainz 05Aug 8, 21
SV Elversberg
2-2
FSV Mainz 05Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Elversberg vs Mainz?
Elversberg won 4–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Mainz was the favourite at 48% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Elversberg 27%, draw 25%, Mainz 48%).
