Everton
33%
Draw
27%
Chelsea
41%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Everton
0 — 2
ChelseaChelsea wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Chelsea.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Chelsea | Chelsea | 41% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Chelsea | Chelsea | 41% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Chelsea | Chelsea | 42% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Everton | XDraw | 2Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.06 | 3.75 | 2.46 |
| Kalshi | 3.09 | 3.78 | 2.43 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.13 | 3.83 | 2.39 |
Everton win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
EvertonChelsea
Oct 17, 26
Everton
0-2
ChelseaMar 21, 26
Everton
3-0
ChelseaDec 13, 25
Chelsea
2-0
EvertonApr 26, 25
Chelsea
1-0
EvertonDec 22, 24
Everton
0-0
ChelseaApr 15, 24
Chelsea
6-0
EvertonDec 10, 23
Everton
2-0
ChelseaMar 18, 23
Chelsea
2-2
EvertonLineups
Everton4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Moyes
1J. PickfordG
2A. Maitland-NilesD
6J. TarkowskiD
4J. BranthwaiteD
16V. MykolenkoD
45H. ArmstrongM
37J. GarnerM
34M. RöhlM
8K. Dewsbury-HallM
10J. GrealishM
11T. BarryF
Chelsea4-2-3-1
Coach: Xabi Alonso
1E. MartínezG
34Joshua Kofi AcheampongD
5M. LacroixD
6L. ColwillD
21J. HatoD
25M. CaicedoM
14J. HendersonM
7Pedro NetoM
10C. PalmerM
17M. RogersM
9João PedroF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Everton vs Chelsea?
Chelsea won 2–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Chelsea was the favourite at 41% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Everton 33%, draw 27%, Chelsea 41%).
