Everton
28%
Draw
26%
Manchester United
45%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Everton
2 — 2
Manchester UnitedDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 26% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 27% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Everton | XDraw | 2Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.52 | 3.78 | 2.22 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.49 | 3.76 | 2.23 |
Sportsbook Odds12 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Everton | XDraw | 2Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.54 | 2.58 |
 Betfair | 1.10 | 1.21 | 2.24 |
 William Hill | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
 Marathon | 2.85 | 3.48 | 2.54 |
 MyBookie | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.44 |
 888sport | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
 Betclic | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.37 |
 Codere | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
 Tipico | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
 Unibet (FR) | 2.65 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50 | 3.15 | 2.25 |
| Fair odds (average of 12, margin removed) | 2.89 | 3.47 | 2.73 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Everton vs Manchester United?
Everton vs Manchester United ended in a 2–2 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester United was the favourite at 45% on Kalshi (closing prices: Everton 28%, draw 26%, Manchester United 45%).
