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Augsburg

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Augsburg
7%
Draw
11%
Bayern Munich
83%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

AugsburgAugsburg
2 — 2
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bayern Munich10%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Bayern Munich11%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bayern Munich11%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket15.469.571.20
Kalshi14.589.271.21
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)12.639.031.23

Augsburg win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

WWK Arena, Augsburg
Matchday 5
Sven Jablonski
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
Oct 10, 26
FC Augsburg
2-2
Bayern München
Jan 24, 26
Bayern München
1-2
FC Augsburg
Aug 30, 25
FC Augsburg
2-3
Bayern München
Apr 4, 25
FC Augsburg
1-3
Bayern München
Nov 22, 24
Bayern München
3-0
FC Augsburg
Jan 27, 24
FC Augsburg
2-3
Bayern Munich
Aug 27, 23
Bayern Munich
3-1
FC Augsburg
Mar 11, 23
Bayern Munich
5-3
FC Augsburg
Lineups
FC Augsburg3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Baum
1F. DahmenG
35Abdulay BahD
5C. MatsimaD
2C. BrackelmannD
7Seol Young-WooM
4H. MassengoM
32F. RiederM
16Hennes BehrensM
19R. FellhauerM
21A. IbrahimovićM
9Rodrigo RibeiroF
Bayern München4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Kompany
1M. NeuerG
44J. StanišićD
2D. UpamecanoD
4J. TahD
19A. DaviesD
6J. KimmichM
45A. PavlovićM
17M. OliseM
34I. SaibariM
14L. DíazM
9H. KaneF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich ended in a 2–2 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Bayern Munich was the favourite at 83% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Augsburg 7%, draw 11%, Bayern Munich 83%).