Fenerbahce
27%
Draw
28%
Roma
46%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Fenerbahce
1 — 1
RomaDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Roma | Roma | 28% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Roma | Roma | 27% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Fenerbahce | XDraw | 2Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.74 | 3.61 | 2.20 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.49 | 3.65 | 2.28 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Fenerbahce | XDraw | 2Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 2.66 | 3.45 | 2.66 |
 1xBet | 2.66 | 3.46 | 2.78 |
 Codere | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
 Coolbet | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
 Unibet (NL) | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
 Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.68 |
 William Hill | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
 Marathon | 2.64 | 3.44 | 2.76 |
 888sport | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
 Betclic | 2.37 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
 Betsson | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
 GTbets | 2.52 | 3.41 | 2.78 |
 LeoVegas | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
 NordicBet | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
PMU | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.70 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
Suprabets | 2.51 | 3.28 | 2.59 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 2.68 | 3.57 | 2.88 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Fenerbahce vs Roma?
Fenerbahce vs Roma ended in a 1–1 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Roma was the favourite at 46% on Kalshi (closing prices: Fenerbahce 27%, draw 28%, Roma 46%).
