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Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Fiorentina

40%

Draw

26%

Atalanta

34%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Fiorentina

2 — 2

Atalanta

Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Fiorentina	Fiorentina	26%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Fiorentina	Fiorentina	26%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Fiorentina	Fiorentina	26%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Fiorentina	XDraw	2Atalanta
Polymarket	2.46	3.90	2.97
Kalshi	2.50	3.85	2.94
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.47	3.91	2.94

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Fiorentina	XDraw	2Atalanta
Betfair	2.46	3.90	2.92
BetOnline	2.34	3.72	2.95
1xBet	2.47	3.86	2.85
Matchbook	2.46	3.90	2.92
Tipico	2.35	3.90	2.65
Pinnacle	2.39	3.81	2.91
William Hill	2.30	3.50	2.70
Marathon	2.43	3.80	2.80
888sport	2.30	3.50	2.70
BetAnySports	2.37	3.71	2.87
Betclic	2.23	3.65	2.73
Betsson	2.38	3.65	2.80
Codere	2.35	3.75	2.80
Coolbet	2.38	3.77	2.90
Everygame	2.30	3.75	2.85
GTbets	2.32	3.71	2.82
LeoVegas	2.32	3.55	2.70
NordicBet	2.35	3.60	2.78
PMU	2.28	3.45	2.63
Unibet (FR)	2.25	3.70	2.65
Unibet (NL)	2.38	3.70	2.75
Unibet (SE)	2.45	3.80	2.85
Winamax (DE)	2.25	3.75	2.70
Winamax (FR)	2.20	3.65	2.65
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	2.47	3.91	2.94