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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Fiorentina
28%
Draw
28%
Como
44%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

FiorentinaFiorentina
1 — 3
ComoComo
Como wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Como.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Como44%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Como45%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Como46%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket3.533.652.26
Kalshi3.613.612.24
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)3.573.792.19

Fiorentina win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Marco Di Bello
Head to HeadLast 6 meetings
Fiorentina
Como
Oct 18, 26
Fiorentina
1-3
Como
Feb 14, 26
Como
1-2
Fiorentina
Jan 27, 26
Fiorentina
1-3
Como
Sep 21, 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Como
Feb 16, 25
Fiorentina
0-2
Como
Nov 24, 24
Como
0-2
Fiorentina
Lineups
Fiorentina4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Vanoli
43David de GeaG
20Álex JiménezD
3R. DrăgușinD
5M. PongračićD
33VieryD
27C. NdourM
44N. FagioliM
30Franco MastantuonoM
28PoteM
25A. NjieM
32Mateo PellegrinoF
Como4-2-3-1
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
1J. ButezG
28I. SmolčićD
99T. ChalobahD
2M. KempfD
3Álex ValleD
6Luis MillaM
7L. da CunhaM
30M. LiberaliM
10N. PazM
8M. CaqueretM
9T. DouvikasF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Fiorentina vs Como?

Como won 3–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Como was the favourite at 44% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Fiorentina 28%, draw 28%, Como 44%).