serieaFull Time

Frosinone vs Lecce

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Frosinone

57%

Draw

22%

Lecce

20%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Frosinone

5 — 1

Lecce

Frosinone wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Frosinone.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Frosinone	Frosinone	57%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Frosinone	Frosinone	57%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Frosinone	Frosinone	56%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Frosinone	XDraw	2Lecce
Polymarket	1.75	4.47	4.90
Kalshi	1.76	4.43	4.86
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.78	4.42	4.73

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Frosinone	XDraw	2Lecce
Betfair	1.73	4.50	4.80
Coolbet	1.74	4.20	4.60
Matchbook	1.74	4.50	4.80
Pinnacle	1.70	4.33	4.71
William Hill	1.67	4.00	4.33
Marathon	1.68	4.30	4.60
BetOnline	1.71	4.22	4.65
888sport	1.67	4.00	4.33
1xBet	1.73	4.42	4.74
BetAnySports	1.71	4.22	4.65
Betclic	1.63	4.10	4.30
Betsson	1.70	4.10	4.45
Codere	1.69	4.30	4.50
Everygame	1.67	4.20	4.50
GTbets	1.71	4.14	4.33
LeoVegas	1.65	3.95	4.35
NordicBet	1.70	4.10	4.40
PMU	1.63	3.85	4.25
Tipico	1.65	4.30	4.50
Unibet (FR)	1.61	4.00	4.20
Unibet (NL)	1.70	4.20	4.60
Unibet (SE)	1.73	4.30	4.75
Winamax (DE)	1.64	4.20	4.30
Winamax (FR)	1.62	4.10	4.10
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	1.78	4.42	4.74