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Frosinone vs Sassuolo

Friday, October 16, 2026

Frosinone

39%

Draw

26%

Sassuolo

35%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Frosinone

4 — 2

Sassuolo

Frosinone wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Frosinone.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Frosinone	Frosinone	39%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Frosinone	Frosinone	39%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Frosinone	Frosinone	38%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Frosinone	XDraw	2Sassuolo
Polymarket	2.56	3.86	2.85
Kalshi	2.58	3.94	2.79
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.63	3.85	2.77

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Frosinone	XDraw	2Sassuolo
Betfair	2.60	3.80	2.80
1xBet	2.61	3.75	2.73
Unibet (SE)	2.55	3.85	2.70
Pinnacle	2.56	3.73	2.71
William Hill	2.40	3.40	2.62
Marathon	2.57	3.70	2.69
BetOnline	2.53	3.75	2.68
888sport	2.40	3.40	2.62
BetAnySports	2.53	3.75	2.68
Betclic	2.45	3.65	2.58
Betsson	2.50	3.55	2.70
Codere	2.50	3.75	2.60
Coolbet	2.58	3.75	2.66
Everygame	2.55	3.60	2.55
GTbets	2.52	3.76	2.61
LeoVegas	2.40	3.55	2.55
Matchbook	2.60	3.80	2.76
NordicBet	2.48	3.50	2.65
PMU	2.38	3.50	2.55
Tipico	2.50	3.60	2.60
Unibet (FR)	2.35	3.50	2.45
Unibet (NL)	2.48	3.70	2.65
Winamax (DE)	2.45	3.75	2.55
Winamax (FR)	2.40	3.65	2.45
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	2.63	3.85	2.77