Fulham
27%
Draw
25%
Manchester United
48%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Fulham
1 — 1
Manchester UnitedDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 25% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 25% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Fulham | XDraw | 2Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.64 | 4.08 | 2.08 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.63 | 3.95 | 2.12 |
Sportsbook Odds12 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Fulham | XDraw | 2Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.81 | 3.98 | 1.99 |
 Betfair | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.66 |
 William Hill | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.91 |
 Marathon | 3.76 | 3.92 | 1.96 |
 MyBookie | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.89 |
 888sport | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
 Betclic | 3.53 | 3.63 | 1.85 |
 Codere | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.93 |
 Tipico | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
 Unibet (FR) | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.88 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.78 |
| Fair odds (average of 12, margin removed) | 3.88 | 4.02 | 2.02 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Fulham vs Manchester United?
Fulham vs Manchester United ended in a 1–1 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester United was the favourite at 48% on Kalshi (closing prices: Fulham 27%, draw 25%, Manchester United 48%).
