Galatasaray
11%
Draw
14%
Barcelona
76%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Galatasaray
1 — 4
BarcelonaBarcelona wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Barcelona.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Barcelona | Barcelona | 76% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Barcelona | Barcelona | 75% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Barcelona | Barcelona | 75% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Galatasaray | XDraw | 2Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 9.48 | 7.37 | 1.32 |
| Kalshi | 9.18 | 7.22 | 1.33 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 9.36 | 7.09 | 1.33 |
Galatasaray win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 2 meetings
GalatasarayBarcelona
Mar 17, 22
Galatasaray
1-2
BarcelonaMar 10, 22
Barcelona
0-0
GalatasarayFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
Barcelona won 4–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Barcelona was the favourite at 76% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Galatasaray 11%, draw 14%, Barcelona 76%).
