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Genoa vs Juventus

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Genoa

17%

Draw

28%

Juventus

55%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Genoa

2 — 0

Juventus

Genoa wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Genoa.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Juventus	Juventus	17%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Juventus	Juventus	17%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Juventus	Juventus	19%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Genoa	XDraw	2Juventus
Polymarket	5.74	3.65	1.81
Kalshi	5.94	3.61	1.80
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	5.29	3.52	1.90

Sportsbook Odds23 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Genoa	XDraw	2Juventus
Betfair	5.50	3.45	1.87
1xBet	5.33	3.56	1.83
Matchbook	5.50	3.50	1.87
Pinnacle	5.07	3.41	1.84
William Hill	4.80	3.25	1.75
Marathon	5.25	3.50	1.80
BetOnline	5.15	3.46	1.81
888sport	4.80	3.25	1.75
BetAnySports	5.15	3.46	1.81
Betclic	4.65	3.22	1.77
Betsson	4.85	3.30	1.85
Codere	4.80	3.35	1.84
Coolbet	5.30	3.45	1.81
GTbets	5.21	3.42	1.74
LeoVegas	4.90	3.10	1.77
NordicBet	4.80	3.30	1.82
PMU	4.75	3.05	1.75
Tipico	5.20	3.30	1.77
Unibet (FR)	4.80	3.20	1.70
Unibet (NL)	5.20	3.25	1.82
Unibet (SE)	5.30	3.30	1.83
Winamax (DE)	4.60	3.40	1.78
Winamax (FR)	4.40	3.25	1.74
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)	5.29	3.52	1.90