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Sunday, October 25, 2026

Genoa
42%
Draw
29%
Venezia
29%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

GenoaGenoa
1 — 0
VeneziaVenezia
Genoa wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Genoa.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Genoa42%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Genoa42%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Genoa43%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.393.443.44
Kalshi2.373.403.52
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.313.403.65
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.283.303.75
1xBet
2.293.313.62
Matchbook
2.283.303.75
Unibet (NL)
2.233.353.35
Unibet (SE)
2.233.353.35
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)2.313.403.65

Genoa win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Simone Sozza
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Genoa
Venezia
Oct 25, 26
Genoa
1-0
Venezia
Feb 17, 25
Genoa
2-0
Venezia
Sep 21, 24
Venezia
2-0
Genoa
Jul 20, 24
Venezia
1-3
Genoa
Jul 22, 23
Genoa
1-4
Venezia
Jan 16, 23
Genoa
1-0
Venezia
Aug 14, 22
Venezia
1-2
Genoa
Feb 20, 22
Venezia
1-1
Genoa
Lineups
Genoa3-4-2-1
Coach: D. De Rossi
1J. BijlowG
34S. OtoaD
5L. ØstigårdD
22J. VásquezD
77M. EllertssonM
25H. TraorèM
71S. WiafeM
2M. MitajM
10Junior MessiasM
92S. El ShaarawyM
18M. OsmajićF
Venezia3-5-2
Coach: D. Nicola
1F. StankovićG
25R. HalhalD
2M. MorenoD
15Juan JesusD
18A. HainautM
71Kike PérezM
19S. SohmM
26T. BašićM
5R. HapsM
10J. YeboahF
45A. AdamsF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Genoa vs Venezia?

Genoa won 1–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Genoa was the favourite at 42% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Genoa 42%, draw 29%, Venezia 29%).