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Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart

Stuttgart

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Hamburger SV
24%
Draw
23%
Stuttgart
53%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1 — 0
StuttgartStuttgart
Hamburger SV wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Hamburger SV.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Stuttgart24%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Stuttgart24%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Stuttgart24%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket4.194.381.88
Kalshi4.214.211.91
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)4.114.281.91

Hamburger SV win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
Matchday 6
Robert Hartmann
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Hamburger SV
Stuttgart
Oct 17, 26
Hamburger SV
1-0
VfB Stuttgart
Apr 12, 26
VfB Stuttgart
4-0
Hamburger SV
Nov 30, 25
Hamburger SV
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
Jun 5, 23
Hamburger SV
1-3
VfB Stuttgart
Jun 1, 23
VfB Stuttgart
3-0
Hamburger SV
Aug 26, 20
VfB Stuttgart
3-2
Hamburger SV
May 28, 20
VfB Stuttgart
3-2
Hamburger SV
Oct 29, 19
Hamburger SV
1-2
VfB Stuttgart
Lineups
Hamburger SV3-5-2
Coach: M. Polzin
1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
24N. CapaldoD
33S. BornauwD
17W. OmariD
3D. Møller WolfeM
5M. AdelineM
4B. NadirM
28M. MuheimM
37L. LemkeM
20Fábio VieiraF
15Y. PoulsenF
VfB Stuttgart4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Hoeneb
41D. SeimenG
4J. VagnomanD
29Finn JeltschD
24J. ChabotD
3R. HendriksD
16A. KarazorM
6A. StillerM
11B. El KhannoussM
26D. UndavM
18J. LewelingM
9E. DemirovićF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart?

Hamburger SV won 1–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Stuttgart was the favourite at 53% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Hamburger SV 24%, draw 23%, Stuttgart 53%).