Hoffenheim
30%
Draw
23%
Bayer Leverkusen
47%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Hoffenheim
3 — 0
Bayer LeverkusenHoffenheim wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Hoffenheim.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen | 30% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen | 30% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen | 30% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Hoffenheim | XDraw | 2Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.37 | 4.23 | 2.14 |
| Kalshi | 3.33 | 4.35 | 2.13 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.31 | 4.29 | 2.15 |
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Hoffenheim | XDraw | 2Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.14 |
 1xBet | 3.21 | 4.42 | 2.10 |
 Coolbet | 3.34 | 4.10 | 2.03 |
 Matchbook | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.14 |
 Pinnacle | 3.27 | 4.17 | 2.07 |
 William Hill | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
 Marathon | 3.12 | 4.30 | 2.04 |
 BetOnline | 3.22 | 4.11 | 2.08 |
 888sport | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
 Betclic | 3.03 | 3.95 | 1.97 |
 Betsson | 3.10 | 4.00 | 2.05 |
 Codere | 3.10 | 4.10 | 2.06 |
 Everygame | 3.25 | 4.10 | 2.00 |
 GTbets | 3.00 | 4.03 | 2.11 |
 LeoVegas | 3.05 | 3.85 | 1.97 |
 NordicBet | 3.10 | 4.00 | 2.05 |
PMU | 3.00 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
 Tipico | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.00 |
 Unibet (FR) | 2.95 | 3.80 | 1.97 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.06 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.08 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.05 | 3.95 | 2.00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00 | 3.85 | 1.96 |
| Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed) | 3.31 | 4.29 | 2.15 |
Hoffenheim win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
Oct 25, 26
1899 Hoffenheim
3-0
Bayer LeverkusenJan 17, 26
1899 Hoffenheim
1-0
Bayer LeverkusenAug 23, 25
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
1899 HoffenheimFeb 2, 25
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
1899 HoffenheimSep 14, 24
1899 Hoffenheim
1-4
Bayer LeverkusenMar 30, 24
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
1899 HoffenheimNov 4, 23
1899 Hoffenheim
2-3
Bayer LeverkusenFeb 11, 23
1899 Hoffenheim
1-3
Bayer LeverkusenLineups
1899 Hoffenheim4-2-3-1
Coach: C. Ilzer
1O. BaumannG
34V. CoufalD
5O. KabakD
28K. MachidaD
39M. RotsD
7L. AvdullahuM
18W. BurgerM
22A. PrassM
10A. HložekM
14A. DaghimM
11F. AsllaniF
Bayer Leverkusen4-2-3-1
Coach: Carles Martínez
1M. FlekkenG
4J. QuansahD
12E. TapsobaD
2F. MedinaD
3Miguel GutiérrezD
24Aleix GarcíaM
6E. FernándezM
19M. DiabyM
30I. MazaM
23N. TellaM
14P. SchickF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Hoffenheim won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Bayer Leverkusen was the favourite at 47% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Hoffenheim 30%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 47%).
