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Sunday, October 11, 2026

Hull City
24%
Draw
29%
Everton
47%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Hull CityHull City
2 — 2
EvertonEverton
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Everton29%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Everton29%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Everton28%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket4.283.412.12
Kalshi4.213.482.10
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)4.073.532.12

Hull City win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

MKM Stadium, Hull
Michael Salisbury
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Hull City
Everton
Oct 11, 26
Hull City
2-2
Everton
Jan 8, 22
Hull City
2-3
Everton
Mar 18, 17
Everton
4-0
Hull City
Dec 30, 16
Hull City
2-2
Everton
Jan 1, 15
Hull City
2-0
Everton
Dec 3, 14
Everton
1-1
Hull City
May 11, 14
Hull City
0-2
Everton
Oct 19, 13
Everton
2-1
Hull City
Lineups
Hull City5-4-1
Coach: S. Jakirović
19K. TzolakisG
2L. CoyleD
6S. AjayiD
15J. EganD
32N. MendyD
3R. GilesD
11J. GelhardtM
25M. CrooksM
27R. SlaterM
7S. ThomasM
9O. McBurnieF
Everton4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Moyes
1J. PickfordG
2A. Maitland-NilesD
6J. TarkowskiD
5M. KeaneD
4J. BranthwaiteD
37J. GarnerM
45H. ArmstrongM
22B. JohnsonM
8K. Dewsbury-HallM
10J. GrealishM
11T. BarryF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Hull City vs Everton?

Hull City vs Everton ended in a 2–2 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Everton was the favourite at 47% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Hull City 24%, draw 29%, Everton 47%).