Inter Milan
83%
Draw
12%
Parma
6%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Inter Milan
3 — 0
ParmaInter Milan wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Inter Milan.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Inter Milan | Inter Milan | 83% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Inter Milan | Inter Milan | 82% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Inter Milan | Inter Milan | 81% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Inter Milan | XDraw | 2Parma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.21 | 8.66 | 17.92 |
| Kalshi | 1.21 | 8.50 | 17.01 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.23 | 8.10 | 15.72 |
Inter Milan win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Inter MilanParma
Oct 10, 26
Inter
3-0
ParmaMay 3, 26
Inter
2-0
ParmaJan 7, 26
Parma
0-2
InterApr 5, 25
Parma
2-2
InterDec 6, 24
Inter
3-1
ParmaJan 10, 23
Inter
2-1
ParmaAug 8, 21
Parma
0-2
InterMar 4, 21
Parma
1-2
InterLineups
Inter3-5-2
Coach: C. Chivu
1Josep MartínezG
28B. PavardD
31Y. BisseckD
30Carlos AugustoD
17A. DioufM
8P. SučićM
20H. ÇalhanoğluM
22H. MkhitaryanM
32F. DimarcoM
9M. ThuramF
94F. EspositoF
Parma3-4-2-1
Coach: A. Gilardino
40E. CorviG
37M. TroiloD
34Diego CarlosD
29F. CarboniD
15E. Del PratoM
16M. KeitaM
4V. SierroM
14E. ValeriM
80G. FabbianM
19E. TouréM
23N. ElphegeF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Inter Milan vs Parma?
Inter Milan won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Inter Milan was the favourite at 83% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Inter Milan 83%, draw 12%, Parma 6%).
