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Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Inter Milan
79%
Draw
14%
Shakhtar Donetsk
8%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Inter MilanInter Milan
1 — 0
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
Inter Milan wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Inter Milan.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Inter Milan79%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Inter Milan78%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Inter Milan77%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.277.3713.26
Kalshi1.287.2212.63
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.306.9711.26
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.267.4013.00
1xBet
1.277.0111.60
Matchbook
1.267.4013.00
Unibet (SE)
1.276.7511.50
Pinnacle
1.256.8210.33
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)1.306.9711.26

Inter Milan win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Harm Osmers
Head to HeadLast 5 meetings
Inter Milan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Nov 24, 21
Inter
2-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sep 28, 21
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-0
Inter
Dec 9, 20
Inter
0-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oct 27, 20
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-0
Inter
Aug 17, 20
Inter
5-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Inter Milan won 1–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Inter Milan was the favourite at 79% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Inter Milan 79%, draw 14%, Shakhtar Donetsk 8%).