Jagiellonia Białystok
31%
Draw
27%
Anderlecht
43%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Jagiellonia Białystok
0 — 3
AnderlechtAnderlecht wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Anderlecht.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Anderlecht | Anderlecht | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Anderlecht | Anderlecht | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Anderlecht | Anderlecht | 42% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Jagiellonia Białystok | XDraw | 2Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.26 | 3.75 | 2.34 |
| Kalshi | 3.26 | 3.74 | 2.35 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.22 | 3.77 | 2.36 |
Jagiellonia Białystok win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht?
Anderlecht won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Anderlecht was the favourite at 43% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Jagiellonia Białystok 31%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 43%).
