Jagiellonia Białystok
68%
Draw
19%
Ararat-Armenia
13%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Jagiellonia Białystok
3 — 1
Ararat-ArmeniaJagiellonia Białystok wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Jagiellonia Białystok.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Jagiellonia Białystok | Jagiellonia Białystok | 68% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Jagiellonia Białystok | Jagiellonia Białystok | 67% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Jagiellonia Białystok | XDraw | 2Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.46 | 5.32 | 7.77 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.48 | 5.13 | 7.62 |
Jagiellonia Białystok win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia?
Jagiellonia Białystok won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Jagiellonia Białystok was the favourite at 68% on Kalshi (closing prices: Jagiellonia Białystok 68%, draw 19%, Ararat-Armenia 13%).
