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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Juventus
59%
Draw
24%
Lazio
18%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

JuventusJuventus
0 — 3
LazioLazio
Lazio wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lazio.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Juventus18%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Juventus18%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Juventus17%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.704.235.69
Kalshi1.704.255.67
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.704.195.74
Sportsbook Odds24 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
1xBet
1.664.215.74
Matchbook
1.704.105.70
Unibet (SE)
1.604.206.25
Pinnacle
1.683.955.50
Betfair
1.694.205.70
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)1.704.195.74

Juventus win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Allianz Stadium, Turin
Davide Massa
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Juventus
Lazio
Feb 8, 26
Juventus
2-2
Lazio
Oct 26, 25
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
May 10, 25
Lazio
1-1
Juventus
Oct 19, 24
Juventus
1-0
Lazio
Apr 23, 24
Lazio
2-1
Juventus
Apr 2, 24
Juventus
2-0
Lazio
Mar 30, 24
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
Sep 16, 23
Juventus
3-1
Lazio
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Juventus vs Lazio?

Lazio won 3–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Juventus was the favourite at 59% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Juventus 59%, draw 24%, Lazio 18%).