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bundesligaFull Time

Sunday, October 11, 2026

Köln
49%
Draw
25%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
26%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

KölnKöln
2 — 1
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
Köln wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Köln.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Köln49%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Köln49%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Köln48%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.034.023.86
Kalshi2.063.883.89
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.074.043.72

Köln win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Florian Badstubner
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Oct 11, 26
1. FC Köln
2-1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Mar 21, 26
1. FC Köln
3-3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Nov 8, 25
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-1
1. FC Köln
Mar 9, 24
Borussia Monchengladbach
3-3
1. FC Köln
Oct 22, 23
1. FC Köln
3-1
Borussia Monchengladbach
Apr 2, 23
1. FC Köln
0-0
Borussia Monchengladbach
Oct 9, 22
Borussia Monchengladbach
5-2
1. FC Köln
Apr 16, 22
Borussia Monchengladbach
1-3
1. FC Köln
Lineups
1. FC Köln4-1-2-1-2
Coach: René Wagner
1M. SchwäbeG
28S. SebulonsenD
22Jahmai Simpson-PuseyD
24L. LochoshviliD
3B. SosaD
6E. SkhiriM
8Í. Bergmann JóhannessonM
37L. MainaM
47M. MooreM
30M. BülterF
10S. El MalaF
Borussia Mönchengladbach3-4-2-1
Coach: A. Blessin
1M. NicolasG
14D. HashiokaD
4K. DiksD
5J. LeszczyńskiD
29J. ScallyM
16P. SanderM
10F. NeuhausM
26L. UllrichM
38H. BolinM
25R. HackM
3I. LidbergF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Köln won 2–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Köln was the favourite at 49% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Köln 49%, draw 25%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 26%).