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Wednesday, October 14, 2026

LASK
13%
Draw
19%
Liverpool
68%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

LASKLASK
3 — 6
LiverpoolLiverpool
Liverpool wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Liverpool.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Liverpool68%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Liverpool68%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Liverpool69%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket7.965.101.47
Kalshi7.695.261.47
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)8.185.451.44

LASK win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Tobias Stieler
Head to HeadLast 3 meetings
LASK
Liverpool
Oct 14, 26
Lask Linz
0-4
Liverpool
Nov 30, 23
Liverpool
4-0
Lask Linz
Sep 21, 23
Lask Linz
1-3
Liverpool
Lineups
Lask Linz5-4-1
Coach: D. Kühbauer
1L. JungwirthG
20K. JørgensenD
4X. MbuyambaD
43AlemãoD
16A. AndradeD
25Y. DibangoD
9K. DaněkM
6M. BogardeM
18A. SchöpfM
27C. LangM
7S. AdeniranF
Liverpool4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
1Alisson BeckerG
30J. FrimpongD
33R. AraújoD
5J. JacquetD
21K. TsimikasD
38R. GravenberchM
42T. NyoniM
73R. NgumohaM
7F. WirtzM
29B. BarcolaM
67L. KoumasF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won LASK vs Liverpool?

Liverpool won 6–3.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Liverpool was the favourite at 68% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: LASK 13%, draw 19%, Liverpool 68%).