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Lazio vs Cagliari

Sunday, November 1, 2026

Lazio

65%

Draw

22%

Cagliari

13%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Lazio

2 — 1

Cagliari

Lazio wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lazio.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lazio	Lazio	65%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Lazio	Lazio	65%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lazio	Lazio	65%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Lazio	XDraw	2Cagliari
Polymarket	1.53	4.67	7.45
Kalshi	1.53	4.59	7.77
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.55	4.64	7.25

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Lazio	XDraw	2Cagliari
Betfair	1.50	4.80	7.60
1xBet	1.52	4.58	7.06
Matchbook	1.50	4.80	7.60
Pinnacle	1.48	4.43	7.58
William Hill	1.44	4.00	6.50
Marathon	1.48	4.45	6.85
BetOnline	1.47	4.55	7.38
888sport	1.44	4.00	6.50
BetAnySports	1.47	4.43	7.28
Betclic	1.44	4.25	6.10
Betsson	1.48	4.25	7.00
Codere	1.49	4.50	6.40
Coolbet	1.50	4.40	7.40
Everygame	1.45	4.33	7.50
GTbets	1.42	4.44	6.57
LeoVegas	1.43	4.25	6.50
NordicBet	1.47	4.25	6.90
PMU	1.41	4.10	6.40
Tipico	1.42	4.50	7.50
Unibet (FR)	1.40	4.30	6.20
Unibet (NL)	1.45	4.40	7.00
Unibet (SE)	1.49	4.60	7.50
Winamax (DE)	1.46	4.40	6.00
Winamax (FR)	1.44	4.20	5.80
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	1.55	4.64	7.25