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Sunday, October 11, 2026

Lazio
57%
Draw
25%
Monza
19%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

LazioLazio
3 — 1
MonzaMonza
Lazio wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lazio.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lazio57%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Lazio56%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lazio55%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.764.065.38
Kalshi1.774.045.32
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.824.034.98

Lazio win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Guiseppe Collu
Head to HeadLast 7 meetings
Lazio
Monza
Oct 11, 26
Lazio
3-1
Monza
Feb 9, 25
Lazio
5-1
Monza
Nov 10, 24
Monza
0-1
Lazio
May 4, 24
Monza
2-2
Lazio
Sep 23, 23
Lazio
1-1
Monza
Apr 2, 23
Monza
0-2
Lazio
Nov 10, 22
Lazio
1-0
Monza
Lineups
Lazio4-3-3
Coach: G. Gattuso
35C. MandasG
15R. Floriani MussoliniD
5D. DoekhiD
25O. ProvstgaardD
17Nuno TavaresD
16D. FrattesiM
21R. BelahyaneM
24K. TaylorM
11G. IsaksenF
14T. NoslinF
10M. ZaccagniF
Monza3-4-2-1
Coach: I. Juric
1N. TörnqvistG
60E. KouadioD
3L. LucchesiD
44A. CarboniD
19S. BirindelliM
90M. FolorunshoM
14E. AkinsanmiroM
7Ricardo MangasM
16C. NgongeM
22E. ZeballosM
9Gustavo VarelaF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Lazio vs Monza?

Lazio won 3–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Lazio was the favourite at 57% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lazio 57%, draw 25%, Monza 19%).