Lazio
3 — 1
Lazio wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lazio.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 57% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Lazio | 56% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lazio | Lazio | 55% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lazio | XDraw | 2Monza |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.76 | 4.06 | 5.38 | |
| 1.77 | 4.04 | 5.32 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.82 | 4.03 | 4.98 |
Lazio win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 7 meetings
Monza
Oct 11, 26
Lazio
3-1
MonzaFeb 9, 25
Lazio
5-1
MonzaNov 10, 24
Monza
0-1
LazioMay 4, 24
Monza
2-2
LazioSep 23, 23
Lazio
1-1
MonzaApr 2, 23
Monza
0-2
LazioNov 10, 22
Lazio
1-0
MonzaLineups
Lazio4-3-3
Coach: G. Gattuso
35C. MandasG
15R. Floriani MussoliniD
5D. DoekhiD
25O. ProvstgaardD
17Nuno TavaresD
16D. FrattesiM
21R. BelahyaneM
24K. TaylorM
11G. IsaksenF
14T. NoslinF
10M. ZaccagniF
Monza3-4-2-1
Coach: I. Juric
1N. TörnqvistG
60E. KouadioD
3L. LucchesiD
44A. CarboniD
19S. BirindelliM
90M. FolorunshoM
14E. AkinsanmiroM
7Ricardo MangasM
16C. NgongeM
22E. ZeballosM
9Gustavo VarelaF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Lazio vs Monza?
Lazio won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Lazio was the favourite at 57% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lazio 57%, draw 25%, Monza 19%).