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Lazio vs Parma

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Lazio

67%

Draw

22%

Parma

12%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Lazio

2 — 1

Parma

Lazio wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lazio.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lazio	Lazio	67%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Lazio	Lazio	67%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lazio	Lazio	66%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Lazio	XDraw	2Parma
Polymarket	1.50	4.63	8.65
Kalshi	1.50	4.64	8.50
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.50	4.71	8.12

Sportsbook Odds23 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Lazio	XDraw	2Parma
Betfair	1.47	4.70	8.80
Matchbook	1.47	4.70	8.80
Winamax (DE)	1.40	4.70	7.00
Pinnacle	1.45	4.48	8.21
William Hill	1.44	4.00	7.00
Marathon	1.42	4.55	8.20
BetOnline	1.45	4.45	8.20
888sport	1.44	4.00	7.00
1xBet	1.46	4.68	8.40
BetAnySports	1.45	4.45	8.20
Betclic	1.37	4.50	7.25
Betsson	1.43	4.50	7.60
Codere	1.44	4.60	7.40
Coolbet	1.44	4.55	8.64
GTbets	1.45	4.37	7.78
LeoVegas	1.40	4.30	7.50
NordicBet	1.42	4.45	7.50
PMU	1.38	4.20	7.00
Tipico	1.40	4.50	8.00
Unibet (FR)	1.36	4.30	6.80
Unibet (NL)	1.42	4.50	8.00
Unibet (SE)	1.43	4.60	8.00
Winamax (FR)	1.37	4.50	6.50
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)	1.50	4.71	8.13