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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Le Havre
42%
Draw
28%
Auxerre
31%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Le HavreLe Havre
1 — 3
AuxerreAuxerre
Auxerre wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Auxerre.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Le Havre30%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Le Havre31%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Le Havre31%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.363.653.29
Kalshi2.423.593.24
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.423.653.19
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.403.553.20
LeoVegas
2.283.653.15
Unibet (SE)
2.283.653.15
Pinnacle
2.363.503.15
William Hill
2.303.302.90
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)2.423.653.19

Le Havre win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stade Océane, Le Havre
Eric Wattellier
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Le Havre
Auxerre
Oct 18, 26
Le Havre
1-3
Auxerre
Apr 5, 26
Le Havre
1-1
Auxerre
Oct 26, 25
Auxerre
0-1
Le Havre
May 4, 25
Auxerre
1-2
Le Havre
Sep 1, 24
Le Havre
3-1
Auxerre
May 7, 22
Le Havre
1-2
Auxerre
Dec 21, 21
Auxerre
2-3
Le Havre
Apr 5, 21
Auxerre
1-1
Le Havre
Lineups
Le Havre4-3-3
Coach: D. Digard
93G. GallonG
20D. OuziadD
6J. MwangaD
5A. ToubaD
97M. NdiayeD
14R. NdiayeM
26S. EbonogM
7A. RichardsonM
30S. NakamuraF
9J. MajaF
25M. SamattaF
Auxerre3-4-2-1
Coach: W. Still
1P. NardiG
15C. MakossoD
4A. TuanzebeD
92C. AkpaD
27L. SyM
8N. AhamadaM
5K. DanoisM
22F. OppegårdM
21R. FaivreM
10D. NamasoM
9C. ArcherF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Le Havre vs Auxerre?

Auxerre won 3–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Le Havre was the favourite at 42% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Le Havre 42%, draw 28%, Auxerre 31%).