Le Mans
0 — 3
ToulouseToulouse wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Toulouse.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Toulouse | Toulouse | 45% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Toulouse | Toulouse | 44% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Toulouse | Toulouse | 42% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Le Mans | XDraw | 2Toulouse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.49 | 3.75 | 2.24 |
| Kalshi | 3.48 | 3.61 | 2.30 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.24 | 3.72 | 2.37 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Le Mans | XDraw | 2Toulouse |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.28 |
 LeoVegas | 3.05 | 3.65 | 2.35 |
 Unibet (SE) | 3.05 | 3.65 | 2.35 |
 Pinnacle | 3.20 | 3.58 | 2.29 |
 William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
 Marathon | 3.16 | 3.64 | 2.27 |
 BetOnline | 3.12 | 3.63 | 2.28 |
 888sport | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
 1xBet | 3.21 | 3.69 | 2.31 |
 Betclic | 3.05 | 3.53 | 2.18 |
 Betsson | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.22 |
 Codere | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.24 |
 Coolbet | 3.15 | 3.55 | 2.32 |
 Everygame | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
 GTbets | 3.09 | 3.50 | 2.27 |
 NordicBet | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.22 |
PMU | 2.85 | 3.40 | 2.23 |
 Tipico | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.28 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 3.24 | 3.72 | 2.37 |
Le Mans win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Le Mans vs Toulouse?
Toulouse won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Toulouse was the favourite at 44% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Le Mans 29%, draw 27%, Toulouse 44%).
