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Lecce

Lecce vs Bologna

Bologna

Sunday, October 11, 2026

Lecce
24%
Draw
30%
Bologna
47%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

LecceLecce
1 — 2
BolognaBologna
Bologna wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bologna.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bologna47%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Bologna47%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bologna47%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket4.283.412.12
Kalshi4.213.372.15
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)4.213.392.14

Lecce win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Matchday 6
Luca J. Pairetto
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Lecce
Bologna
Oct 11, 26
Lecce
1-2
Bologna
Apr 12, 26
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Sep 28, 25
Lecce
2-2
Bologna
Feb 9, 25
Lecce
0-0
Bologna
Nov 2, 24
Bologna
1-0
Lecce
Feb 11, 24
Bologna
4-0
Lecce
Dec 3, 23
Lecce
1-1
Bologna
Jun 4, 23
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Lineups
Lecce4-3-3
Coach: E. Di Francesco
30W. FalconeG
17Danilo VeigaD
5J. SiebertD
44Tiago GabrielD
25A. GalloD
29L. CoulibalyM
20I. IlićM
14Y. MalehM
50S. PierottiF
22Paco EstebanF
7A. Ahmed FatahF
Bologna3-4-2-1
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
25M. PessinaG
36M. DarmianD
16N. CasaleD
14T. HeggemD
20N. ZorteaM
19L. FergusonM
4T. PobegaM
33Juan MirandaM
7R. OrsoliniM
28N. CambiaghiM
91R. PiccoliF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Lecce vs Bologna?

Bologna won 2–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Bologna was the favourite at 47% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lecce 24%, draw 30%, Bologna 47%).