Lech Poznań
20%
Draw
21%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Lech Poznań
0 — 4
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bayer Leverkusen.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen | 59% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen | 59% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lech Poznań | XDraw | 2Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 5.15 | 4.67 | 1.69 |
| Kalshi | 5.05 | 4.81 | 1.68 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 4.92 | 4.59 | 1.73 |
Lech Poznań win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Lech Poznań vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen won 4–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Bayer Leverkusen was the favourite at 59% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lech Poznań 20%, draw 21%, Bayer Leverkusen 59%).
