Lech Poznań
20%
Draw
24%
Sunderland
56%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Lech Poznań
1 — 1
SunderlandDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Sunderland | Sunderland | 24% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Sunderland | Sunderland | 24% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sunderland | Sunderland | 24% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lech Poznań | XDraw | 2Sunderland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 4.85 | 4.23 | 1.79 |
| Kalshi | 5.05 | 4.21 | 1.77 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 4.79 | 4.16 | 1.81 |
Lech Poznań win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Lech Poznań vs Sunderland?
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland ended in a 1–1 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Sunderland was the favourite at 56% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lech Poznań 20%, draw 24%, Sunderland 56%).
