Leeds United
41%
Draw
27%
Newcastle
31%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Leeds United
4 — 1
NewcastleLeeds United wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Leeds United.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Leeds United | Leeds United | 41% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Leeds United | Leeds United | 41% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Leeds United | XDraw | 2Newcastle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.43 | 3.64 | 3.19 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.45 | 3.68 | 3.13 |
Sportsbook Odds12 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Leeds United | XDraw | 2Newcastle |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.64 | 2.82 |
 Pinnacle | 2.49 | 3.54 | 2.74 |
 Betfair | 2.56 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
 William Hill | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
 Marathon | 2.55 | 3.58 | 2.77 |
 MyBookie | 2.50 | 3.36 | 2.62 |
 888sport | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
 Betclic | 2.43 | 3.32 | 2.58 |
 Tipico | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
 Unibet (FR) | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Fair odds (average of 12, margin removed) | 2.66 | 3.66 | 2.85 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Leeds United vs Newcastle?
Leeds United won 4–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Leeds United was the favourite at 41% on Kalshi (closing prices: Leeds United 41%, draw 27%, Newcastle 31%).
