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Lens vs Lyon

Friday, October 9, 2026

Lens

37%

Draw

27%

Lyon

37%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Lens

2 — 1

Lyon

Lens wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lens.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lens	Lens	37%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Lens	Lens	37%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lens	Lens	37%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Lens	XDraw	2Lyon
Polymarket	2.73	3.75	2.73
Kalshi	2.73	3.74	2.73
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.71	3.83	2.71

Sportsbook Odds20 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Lens	XDraw	2Lyon
Betfair	2.68	3.75	2.74
Pinnacle	2.64	3.69	2.64
William Hill	2.50	3.40	2.50
BetOnline	2.65	3.70	2.58
888sport	2.50	3.40	2.50
1xBet	2.66	3.72	2.69
Betclic	2.55	3.65	2.50
Betsson	2.55	3.60	2.55
Codere	2.55	3.65	2.60
Coolbet	2.66	3.68	2.60
Everygame	2.60	3.60	2.55
GTbets	2.52	3.69	2.64
LeoVegas	2.60	3.70	2.65
NordicBet	2.55	3.60	2.55
Tipico	2.60	3.60	2.45
Unibet (FR)	2.50	3.65	2.45
Unibet (NL)	2.55	3.60	2.60
Unibet (SE)	2.60	3.70	2.65
Winamax (DE)	2.50	3.70	2.50
Winamax (FR)	2.45	3.65	2.50
Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed)	2.71	3.83	2.71