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Saturday, October 24, 2026

Lens
41%
Draw
28%
Paris FC
32%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

LensLens
2 — 1
Paris FCParis FC
Lens wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lens.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lens41%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Lens41%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lens38%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.463.623.16
Kalshi2.433.643.19
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.623.702.88
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.563.602.98
Coolbet
2.623.702.62
LeoVegas
2.633.652.75
Unibet (SE)
2.633.652.75
Pinnacle
2.603.522.79
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)2.623.702.88

Lens win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Mathieu Vernice
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Lens
Paris FC
Feb 14, 26
Paris FC
0-5
Lens
Oct 19, 25
Lens
2-1
Paris FC
Jul 2, 22
Lens
0-0
Paris FC
Aug 5, 20
Lens
1-2
Paris FC
Mar 2, 20
Paris FC
0-2
Lens
Sep 28, 19
Lens
2-1
Paris FC
Mar 3, 19
Paris FC
2-0
Lens
Sep 28, 18
Lens
0-0
Paris FC
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Lens vs Paris FC?

Lens won 2–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Lens was the favourite at 41% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lens 41%, draw 28%, Paris FC 32%).