Lens
2 — 1
Lens wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lens.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 41% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Lens | 41% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lens | Lens | 38% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lens | XDraw | 2Paris FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.46 | 3.62 | 3.16 | |
| 2.43 | 3.64 | 3.19 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.88 |
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Lens | XDraw | 2Paris FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.56 | 3.60 | 2.98 | |
| 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.62 | |
| 2.63 | 3.65 | 2.75 | |
| 2.63 | 3.65 | 2.75 | |
| 2.60 | 3.52 | 2.79 | |
| 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 | |
| 2.58 | 3.60 | 2.73 | |
| 2.56 | 3.50 | 2.79 | |
| 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 | |
| 2.62 | 3.65 | 2.77 | |
| 2.32 | 3.45 | 2.72 | |
| 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.78 | |
| 2.43 | 3.55 | 2.80 | |
| 2.52 | 3.58 | 2.73 | |
| 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.78 | |
PMU | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.85 | |
| 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.70 | |
| 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.60 | |
| 2.30 | 3.55 | 2.70 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.65 | |
| Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed) | 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.88 |
Lens win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Paris FC
Feb 14, 26
Paris FC
0-5
LensOct 19, 25
Lens
2-1
Paris FCJul 2, 22
Lens
0-0
Paris FCAug 5, 20
Lens
1-2
Paris FCMar 2, 20
Paris FC
0-2
LensSep 28, 19
Lens
2-1
Paris FCMar 3, 19
Paris FC
2-0
LensSep 28, 18
Lens
0-0
Paris FCFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Lens vs Paris FC?
Lens won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Lens was the favourite at 41% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lens 41%, draw 28%, Paris FC 32%).