Lens
38%
Draw
27%
Sporting CP
35%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Lens
0 — 2
Sporting CPSporting CP wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Sporting CP.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Lens | Lens | 35% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Lens | Lens | 35% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sporting CP | Sporting CP | 37% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lens | XDraw | 2Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.58 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
| Kalshi | 2.62 | 3.78 | 2.83 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.73 | 3.86 | 2.67 |
Lens win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 1 meetings
LensSporting CP
Oct 13, 26
Lens
0-1
Sporting CPLineups
Lens3-4-2-1
Coach: Yannick Cahuzac
40R. RisserG
25I. GaniouD
6S. BaidooD
32K. AntonioD
23Saud AbdulhamidM
27M. CuisanceM
21A. HaidaraM
14M. UdolM
10F. ThauvinM
28J. KadileM
29F. IvanovićF
Sporting CP4-3-3
Coach: Rui Borges
30KaiqueG
22Iván FresnedaD
72Eduardo QuaresmaD
25Gonçalo InácioD
20M. AraújoD
8João SimõesM
5Sergi AltimiraM
77I. DoumbiaM
10Geny CatamoF
97L. SuárezF
19N. IrankundaF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Lens vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP won 2–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Lens was the favourite at 38% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lens 38%, draw 27%, Sporting CP 35%).
