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Saturday, October 17, 2026

Lille
45%
Draw
27%
Brest
27%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

LilleLille
1 — 1
BrestBrest
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lille28%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Lille27%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lille26%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.213.583.72
Kalshi2.203.743.61
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.143.833.68
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.163.703.65
1xBet
2.083.783.71
LeoVegas
2.003.903.65
Unibet (SE)
2.003.903.65
Pinnacle
2.083.643.66
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)2.143.833.68

Lille win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
Clement Turpin
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Lille
Brest
Feb 14, 26
Lille
1-1
Stade Brestois 29
Aug 17, 25
Stade Brestois 29
3-3
Lille
May 10, 25
Stade Brestois 29
2-0
Lille
Dec 6, 24
Lille
3-1
Stade Brestois 29
Mar 17, 24
Stade Brestois 29
1-1
Lille
Oct 22, 23
Lille
1-0
Stade Brestois 29
Feb 24, 23
Lille
2-1
Stade Brestois 29
Jan 11, 23
Stade Brestois 29
0-0
Lille
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Lille vs Brest?

Lille vs Brest ended in a 1–1 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Lille was the favourite at 45% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lille 45%, draw 27%, Brest 27%).