Lille
38%
Draw
27%
Galatasaray
34%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Lille
2 — 4
GalatasarayGalatasaray wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Galatasaray.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Lille | Lille | 34% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Lille | Lille | 34% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lille | Lille | 30% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lille | XDraw | 2Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.61 | 3.65 | 2.91 |
| Kalshi | 2.62 | 3.64 | 2.91 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.31 | 3.79 | 3.29 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Lille | XDraw | 2Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 2.30 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.78 | 3.25 |
 Matchbook | 2.30 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
 Unibet (NL) | 2.23 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
 Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.65 | 3.27 |
 William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
 Marathon | 2.22 | 3.72 | 3.20 |
 BetOnline | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
 888sport | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
 BetAnySports | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
 Betclic | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
 Betsson | 2.22 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
 Codere | 2.24 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
 Coolbet | 2.25 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
 GTbets | 2.17 | 3.66 | 3.16 |
 LeoVegas | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
 NordicBet | 2.25 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
PMU | 2.08 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.15 | 3.65 | 2.95 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 2.31 | 3.79 | 3.29 |
Lille win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 1 meetings
LilleGalatasaray
Oct 21, 26
Lille
2-4
GalatasarayLineups
Lille4-3-3
Coach: Davide Ancelotti
1B. ÖzerG
38M. GoffiD
3N. NgoyD
4Alexsandro RibeiroD
24C. VerdonkD
17N. MukauM
6N. BentalebM
21B. AndréM
7D. BakwaF
10H. HaraldssonF
35S. DiaouneF
Galatasaray4-2-3-1
Coach: O. Buruk
1U. ÇakırG
7R. SallaiD
6D. SánchezD
42A. BardakcıD
4I. JakobsD
34L. TorreiraM
8Gabriel SaraM
11Y. AkgünM
83A. BatrakovM
53B. YılmazM
45V. OsimhenF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Lille vs Galatasaray?
Galatasaray won 4–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Lille was the favourite at 38% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lille 38%, draw 27%, Galatasaray 34%).
