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Lille vs Le Havre

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Lille

67%

Draw

20%

Le Havre

13%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Lille

1 — 0

Le Havre

Lille wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lille.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lille	Lille	67%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Lille	Lille	67%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lille	Lille	62%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Lille	XDraw	2Le Havre
Polymarket	1.50	5.10	7.37
Kalshi	1.50	4.95	7.62
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.62	4.62	6.05

Sportsbook Odds19 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Lille	XDraw	2Le Havre
Betfair	1.58	4.60	6.40
Coolbet	1.56	4.60	5.81
LeoVegas	1.54	4.60	6.40
Unibet (SE)	1.54	4.60	6.40
Pinnacle	1.57	4.51	5.70
William Hill	1.53	4.00	5.50
BetOnline	1.56	4.40	5.90
888sport	1.53	4.00	5.50
1xBet	1.57	4.40	5.58
Betclic	1.47	4.40	5.60
Betsson	1.52	4.20	5.85
Codere	1.56	4.40	5.60
Everygame	1.55	4.40	5.50
GTbets	1.54	4.56	5.99
NordicBet	1.52	4.25	5.90
Unibet (FR)	1.46	4.20	5.30
Unibet (NL)	1.51	4.40	6.10
Winamax (DE)	1.52	4.50	5.20
Winamax (FR)	1.52	4.30	5.10
Fair odds (average of 19, margin removed)	1.62	4.62	6.05