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Lille vs Lens

Friday, October 30, 2026

Lille

35%

Draw

29%

Lens

36%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Lille

1 — 0

Lens

Lille wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lille.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lille	Lille	35%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Lens	Lens	35%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lille	Lille	36%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Lille	XDraw	2Lens
Polymarket	2.83	3.41	2.83
Kalshi	2.84	3.49	2.76
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.81	3.42	2.84

Sportsbook Odds21 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Lille	XDraw	2Lens
Betfair	2.74	3.40	2.88
GTbets	2.76	3.42	2.63
LeoVegas	2.80	3.35	2.65
Unibet (SE)	2.80	3.35	2.65
Pinnacle	2.71	3.30	2.83
William Hill	2.62	3.10	2.62
Marathon	2.72	3.32	2.76
BetOnline	2.69	3.30	2.78
888sport	2.60	3.10	2.62
1xBet	2.76	3.37	2.80
Betclic	2.55	3.15	2.63
Betsson	2.60	3.20	2.72
Codere	2.65	3.30	2.75
Coolbet	2.70	3.30	2.80
NordicBet	2.62	3.20	2.75
PMU	2.60	3.05	2.48
Tipico	2.50	3.20	2.80
Unibet (FR)	2.55	3.10	2.65
Unibet (NL)	2.70	3.20	2.55
Winamax (DE)	2.55	3.20	2.60
Winamax (FR)	2.55	3.15	2.60
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)	2.81	3.42	2.84