Lille
43%
Draw
27%
Real Betis
29%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Lille
2 — 3
Real Betis wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Real Betis.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 29% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lille | Lille | 30% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Lille | XDraw | 2Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | 3.64 | 3.40 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.34 | 3.63 | 3.37 |
Sportsbook Odds19 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Lille | XDraw | 2Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.26 | 3.60 | 3.27 | |
| 2.21 | 3.65 | 3.09 | |
| 2.33 | 3.65 | 3.15 | |
| 2.33 | 3.65 | 3.15 | |
| 2.21 | 3.50 | 3.21 | |
| 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.07 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | |
| 2.25 | 3.58 | 3.25 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | |
| 2.12 | 3.42 | 2.98 | |
| 2.28 | 3.50 | 3.15 | |
| 2.23 | 3.55 | 3.10 | |
| 2.30 | 3.60 | 3.10 | |
| 2.25 | 3.45 | 3.00 | |
| 2.28 | 3.50 | 3.15 | |
PMU | 2.25 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | |
| 2.00 | 3.20 | 2.70 | |
Suprabets | 2.14 | 3.35 | 3.08 |
| Fair odds (average of 19, margin removed) | 2.39 | 3.65 | 3.26 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Lille vs Real Betis?
Real Betis won 3–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Lille was the favourite at 43% on Kalshi (closing prices: Lille 43%, draw 27%, Real Betis 29%).