Lillestrøm
16%
Draw
20%
Real Sociedad
65%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Lillestrøm
0 — 6
Real SociedadReal Sociedad wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Real Sociedad.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad | 65% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad | 65% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lillestrøm | XDraw | 2Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 6.49 | 5.15 | 1.53 |
| Kalshi | 6.37 | 5.10 | 1.55 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 6.13 | 4.82 | 1.59 |
Lillestrøm win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad won 6–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Real Sociedad was the favourite at 65% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lillestrøm 16%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad 65%).
