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Liverpool vs Arsenal

Sunday, November 1, 2026

Liverpool

31%

Draw

28%

Arsenal

41%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Liverpool

0 — 1

Arsenal

Arsenal wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Arsenal.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Arsenal	Arsenal	41%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Arsenal	Arsenal	41%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Arsenal	Arsenal	38%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Liverpool	XDraw	2Arsenal
Polymarket	3.29	3.53	2.42
Kalshi	3.17	3.69	2.42
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.94	3.59	2.62

Sportsbook Odds25 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Liverpool	XDraw	2Arsenal
Betfair	2.92	3.50	2.64
1xBet	2.92	3.55	2.56
Coolbet	2.94	3.44	2.57
Matchbook	2.92	3.50	2.64
Unibet (NL)	2.88	3.55	2.60
Pinnacle	2.90	3.46	2.56
William Hill	2.80	3.30	2.45
Marathon	2.88	3.50	2.52
BetOnline	2.82	3.51	2.53
MyBookie	2.75	3.42	2.48
888sport	2.75	3.30	2.45
BetAnySports	2.80	3.45	2.50
Betclic	2.70	3.35	2.40
Betsson	2.80	3.37	2.51
Codere	2.80	3.45	2.50
Everygame	2.80	3.35	2.50
GTbets	2.76	3.49	2.55
LeoVegas	2.80	3.40	2.50
NordicBet	2.82	3.40	2.52
PMU	2.65	3.20	2.40
Tipico	2.80	3.40	2.45
Unibet (FR)	2.70	3.30	2.40
Unibet (SE)	2.85	3.50	2.55
Winamax (DE)	2.65	3.45	2.40
Winamax (FR)	2.60	3.35	2.35
Fair odds (average of 25, margin removed)	2.94	3.59	2.62