Liverpool
56%
Draw
23%
Atletico Madrid
20%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Liverpool
2 — 1
Atletico MadridLiverpool wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Liverpool.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 56% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 56% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Liverpool | XDraw | 2Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.78 | 4.29 | 4.90 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.79 | 4.26 | 4.84 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Liverpool | XDraw | 2Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.78 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
 1xBet | 1.78 | 4.07 | 4.58 |
 Betsson | 1.78 | 3.85 | 4.60 |
 Coolbet | 1.78 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
 NordicBet | 1.78 | 3.85 | 4.60 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
 Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.89 | 4.42 |
 William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
 Marathon | 1.77 | 4.05 | 4.55 |
 888sport | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
 Betclic | 1.67 | 3.78 | 4.25 |
 Codere | 1.74 | 3.95 | 4.50 |
 GTbets | 1.76 | 3.97 | 4.35 |
 LeoVegas | 1.68 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
PMU | 1.68 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.68 | 3.95 | 4.10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60 | 3.55 | 3.75 |
Suprabets | 1.70 | 3.73 | 4.30 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 1.83 | 4.15 | 4.70 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?
Liverpool won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Liverpool was the favourite at 56% on Kalshi (closing prices: Liverpool 56%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid 20%).
