Liverpool
46%
Draw
26%
Brighton
28%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Liverpool
2 — 0
BrightonLiverpool wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Liverpool.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 47% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 46% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 45% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Liverpool | XDraw | 2Brighton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.14 | 3.90 | 3.62 |
| Kalshi | 2.17 | 3.92 | 3.52 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.21 | 4.00 | 3.36 |
Sportsbook Odds24 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Liverpool | XDraw | 2Brighton |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 2.20 | 3.95 | 3.35 |
 1xBet | 2.15 | 4.04 | 3.29 |
 Matchbook | 2.20 | 3.95 | 3.35 |
 Unibet (NL) | 2.10 | 3.95 | 3.35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10 | 3.95 | 3.35 |
 Pinnacle | 2.15 | 3.84 | 3.30 |
 William Hill | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
 Marathon | 2.12 | 3.98 | 3.24 |
 BetOnline | 2.17 | 3.83 | 3.20 |
 MyBookie | 2.13 | 3.70 | 3.12 |
 888sport | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
 BetAnySports | 2.12 | 3.77 | 3.23 |
 Betclic | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
 Betsson | 2.09 | 3.76 | 3.25 |
 Codere | 2.14 | 3.75 | 3.15 |
 Coolbet | 2.18 | 3.94 | 3.25 |
 GTbets | 2.05 | 3.81 | 3.15 |
 LeoVegas | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
 NordicBet | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.25 |
PMU | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
 Tipico | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
| Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed) | 2.21 | 3.99 | 3.36 |
Liverpool win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
LiverpoolBrighton
Oct 25, 26
Liverpool
2-0
BrightonMar 21, 26
Brighton
2-1
LiverpoolFeb 14, 26
Liverpool
3-0
BrightonDec 13, 25
Liverpool
2-0
BrightonMay 19, 25
Brighton
3-2
LiverpoolNov 2, 24
Liverpool
2-1
BrightonOct 30, 24
Brighton
2-3
LiverpoolMar 31, 24
Liverpool
2-1
BrightonLineups
Liverpool4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
1Alisson BeckerG
33R. AraújoD
5J. JacquetD
4V. van DijkD
6M. KerkezD
38R. GravenberchM
10A. Mac AllisterM
29B. BarcolaM
7F. WirtzM
18C. GakpoM
9A. IsakF
Brighton4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Hürzeler
1B. VerbruggenG
24F. KadıoğluD
44L. VuškovićD
5L. DunkD
21O. BoscagliD
13P. GroßM
14José María Andrés BaixauliM
25D. GómezM
26Y. AyariM
29M. De CuyperM
19C. KostoulasF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Liverpool vs Brighton?
Liverpool won 2–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Liverpool was the favourite at 46% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Liverpool 46%, draw 26%, Brighton 28%).
