Liverpool
29%
Draw
26%
Manchester City
45%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Liverpool
0 — 3
Manchester CityManchester City wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Manchester City.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 45% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 46% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 46% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Liverpool | XDraw | 2Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.41 | 3.94 | 2.21 |
| Kalshi | 3.48 | 3.88 | 2.20 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.57 | 3.84 | 2.18 |
Sportsbook Odds25 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Liverpool | XDraw | 2Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 3.65 | 3.80 | 2.14 |
 Coolbet | 3.56 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
 GTbets | 3.36 | 3.67 | 2.17 |
 Matchbook | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.16 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
 Pinnacle | 3.47 | 3.75 | 2.11 |
 William Hill | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
 Marathon | 3.52 | 3.66 | 2.11 |
 BetOnline | 3.55 | 3.75 | 2.08 |
 MyBookie | 3.28 | 3.65 | 2.08 |
 888sport | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
 1xBet | 3.58 | 3.71 | 2.14 |
 BetAnySports | 3.45 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
 Betclic | 3.20 | 3.65 | 1.98 |
 Betsson | 3.38 | 3.61 | 2.09 |
 Codere | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.08 |
 Everygame | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
 LeoVegas | 3.45 | 3.60 | 2.04 |
 NordicBet | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.08 |
PMU | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
 Tipico | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
 Unibet (FR) | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60 | 3.70 | 2.08 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60 | 3.70 | 2.08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.00 |
| Fair odds (average of 25, margin removed) | 3.57 | 3.84 | 2.18 |
Liverpool win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
LiverpoolManchester City
Oct 11, 26
Liverpool
0-3
Manchester CityApr 4, 26
Manchester City
4-0
LiverpoolFeb 8, 26
Liverpool
1-2
Manchester CityNov 9, 25
Manchester City
3-0
LiverpoolFeb 23, 25
Manchester City
0-2
LiverpoolDec 1, 24
Liverpool
2-0
Manchester CityMar 10, 24
Liverpool
1-1
Manchester CityNov 25, 23
Manchester City
1-1
LiverpoolLineups
Liverpool4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
1Alisson BeckerG
33R. AraújoD
5J. JacquetD
4V. van DijkD
6M. KerkezD
38R. GravenberchM
10A. Mac AllisterM
23Víctor MuñozM
7F. WirtzM
29B. BarcolaM
67L. KoumasF
Manchester City4-2-3-1
Coach: E. Maresca
1G. DonnarummaG
27Matheus NunesD
3Rúben DiasD
6M. GuéhiD
33N. O'ReillyD
5E. AndersonM
17E. FernándezM
7I. NdiayeM
10R. CherkiM
42A. SemenyoM
9E. HaalandF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Manchester City won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester City was the favourite at 45% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Liverpool 29%, draw 26%, Manchester City 45%).
